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Crown Green Handicap

Tom Murphy

Team: Thingwall BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

800

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

12

Matches Played

6

Wins

6

Losses

50%

Win Rate

7.0

Avg Win Margin

5.8

Avg Loss Margin

5-3

Home Record

1-3

Away Record

13%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
12 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 6/15/2021

Only 12 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 12 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May7 Jun15 Jun28 Jun13 Jul15 Jun-125811

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
5.8
score+0.36→contribution+0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(15%)
866
score-0.15→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.007
Sample Size Confidence
13%(12/33 matches)
Rating997 → shrunk 1000→ adjusted 800
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W6L12 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2016–2021Division C126650%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
6/15/2021Derek MycockH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Jean TaggartH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
7/13/2016vs Pensby CA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
7/12/2016Nobby HughesH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
6/28/2016John AthertonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/16/2016John MarklandH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
6/15/2016vs Hoylake CentralA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
6/14/2016vs Bromborough Pool BA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/7/2016John SheppardH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision C
6/2/2016Robert KnightA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
5/17/2016Roy CookeH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016Ken WrightH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundTed PolandBromborough Recs B14-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
LWLLLWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Derek Mycock0110%6/15/2021
Jean Taggart101100%6/8/2021
Pensby C0110%7/13/2016
Nobby Hughes0110%7/12/2016
John Atherton0110%6/28/2016
John Markland101100%6/16/2016
Hoylake Central0110%6/15/2016
Bromborough Pool B101100%6/14/2016
John Sheppard101100%6/7/2016
Robert Knight0110%6/2/2016
Biggest Win
Roy Cooke (+12)5/17/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-8)7/13/2016
Best Season
201650% · 10 matches
Worst Season
201650% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
67% → 33%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7707 known · 5 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
5-183% win rate
Division C50%
6W·6L·12 played

Debut

May 10, 2016

Latest

Jun 15, 2021

Seasons Active

2 (5.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

6.0 (12 total)

Seasons

20162021